ALCOA CORP (185.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
FRA:185 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US0138721065 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to 185. 185 was compared to 39 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. There are concerns on the financial health of 185 while its profitability can be described as average. 185 may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year 185 was profitable.
185 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: 185 reported negative net income in multiple years.
185 had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.90%, 185 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.36% of the companies in the same industry.
185 has a better Return On Equity (14.79%) than 82.05% of its industry peers.
185 has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.85%) than 87.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 14.79% | ||
| ROIC | 9.85% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.79%, 185 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.79% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 185 has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.74%, 185 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
185's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 20.43%, 185 perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.59% of the companies in the same industry.
185's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 20.43% |
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
185 has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 185 has more shares outstanding
185 has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 185 has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.79, we must say that 185 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
185 has a Altman-Z score (1.79) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
185 has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.61. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as 185 would need 7.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
185's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.61 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 185 outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.44 indicates that 185 is not too dependend on debt financing.
185 has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.44. This is in the lower half of the industry: 185 underperforms 64.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.44 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.79 |
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC9.71%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.71 indicates that 185 should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.71, 185 perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.85% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that 185 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
185 has a Quick ratio (1.00) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 237.06% over the past year.
185 shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -48.01% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 20.85% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, 185 shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)237.06%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%365.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%29.63%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, 185 will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.80% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.91% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y287.8%
EPS Next 2Y78.67%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
EPS Next 5Y19.8%
Revenue Next Year7.03%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y3.77%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
185 is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.58.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 185 is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.87% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.79. 185 is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.41, the valuation of 185 can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 185 indicates a rather cheap valuation: 185 is cheaper than 87.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
185 is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 185 is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 185 is valued a bit cheaper than 64.10% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
185's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
185's earnings are expected to grow with 58.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y78.67%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.51%, 185 has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of 185 dropped by -35.85% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
185's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.70.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.47, 185 is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.51% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
185 pays out 11.28% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP11.28%
EPS Next 2Y78.67%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
FRA:185 (4/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
22.695
-0.29 (-1.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners77.41%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.77%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.88B
Analysts81.9
Price Target29.42 (29.63%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.51% |
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP11.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.48%
Min EPS beat(2)3.63%
Max EPS beat(2)21.34%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)48.15%
Min EPS beat(4)3.63%
Max EPS beat(4)96.74%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)27%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-10.45%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.01%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.75%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.29%
PT rev (1m)-38.96%
PT rev (3m)-39.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-17.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-11.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.41 | ||
| P/S | 0.53 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.25 | ||
| P/B | 1.15 | ||
| P/tB | 1.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.62 |
EPS(TTM)3.45
EY15.2%
EPS(NY)2.7
Fwd EY11.89%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY5.22%
OCF(TTM)3.13
OCFY13.79%
SpS43.08
BVpS19.78
TBVpS19.78
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 14.79% | ||
| ROCE | 13.99% | ||
| ROIC | 9.85% | ||
| ROICexc | 11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11% | ||
| OM | 12.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 20.43% | ||
| FCFM | 2.75% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.44 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.15 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.94% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 41.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 40.47% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.79 |
F-Score7
WACC9.71%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)237.06%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%365.43%
EPS Next Y287.8%
EPS Next 2Y78.67%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
EPS Next 5Y19.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%29.63%
Revenue Next Year7.03%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y3.77%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%
EBIT growth 1Y758.78%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year155.7%
EBIT Next 3Y35.74%
EBIT Next 5Y10.1%
FCF growth 1Y155.88%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y47.2%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%