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ALCOA CORP (185.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:185 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US0138721065 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

25.275  -0.33 (-1.27%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to 185. 185 was compared to 35 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. There are concerns on the financial health of 185 while its profitability can be described as average. 185 is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

185 had positive earnings in the past year.
185 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years 185 reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years 185 had a positive operating cash flow.
185.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF185.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.90%, 185 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.29% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 14.79%, 185 belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.81%, 185 belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 14.79%
ROIC 9.81%
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
185.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC185.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.79%, 185 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 185 has declined.
185's Operating Margin of 12.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 185 outperforms 62.86% of its industry peers.
185's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
185 has a Gross Margin of 20.43%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 185 underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
185's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.74%
PM (TTM) 6.79%
GM 20.43%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
185.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins185.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 185 is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 185 has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, 185 has more shares outstanding
185 has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
185.DE Yearly Shares Outstanding185.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
185.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets185.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.86 indicates that 185 is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
185 has a Altman-Z score (1.86) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 185 is 7.74, which is on the high side as it means it would take 185, 7.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 185 (7.74) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
185 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.45, 185 is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF 7.74
Altman-Z 1.86
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.54%
185.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF185.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.71 indicates that 185 should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.71, 185 perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.71% of the companies in the same industry.
185 has a Quick Ratio of 1.71. This is a bad value and indicates that 185 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
185's Quick ratio of 1.00 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 185 is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1
185.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites185.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 237.06% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, 185 shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -48.01% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 20.85% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
185 shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.66% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)237.06%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%365.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%29.63%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.06% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, 185 will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.91% on average per year.
EPS Next Y274.73%
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
EPS Next 5Y19.06%
Revenue Next Year5.43%
Revenue Next 2Y2.12%
Revenue Next 3Y2.73%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
185.DE Yearly Revenue VS Estimates185.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B
185.DE Yearly EPS VS Estimates185.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 2 -2 4 6

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.57, the valuation of 185 can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 185 is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
185's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.21.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.19 indicates a reasonable valuation of 185.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 185 is valued a bit cheaper than 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.70. 185 is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.57
Fwd PE 10.19
185.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings185.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

185's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 185 is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
185's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.04
EV/EBITDA 4.06
185.DE Per share data185.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as 185's earnings are expected to grow with 58.47% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

185 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.34%.
185's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.20.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.34, 185 pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.42.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.34%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
185.DE Yearly Dividends per share185.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

11.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 185. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP11.28%
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
185.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend185.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B
185.DE Dividend Payout.185.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.185.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ALCOA CORP

FRA:185 (6/27/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

25.275

-0.33 (-1.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)04-16 2025-04-16/amc
Earnings (Next)07-16 2025-07-16/amc
Inst Owners77.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.37%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.54B
Analysts79
Price Target30.13 (19.21%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.34%
Yearly Dividend0.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP11.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.56%
Min EPS beat(2)3.63%
Max EPS beat(2)31.49%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)50.69%
Min EPS beat(4)3.63%
Max EPS beat(4)96.74%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.27%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.6%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.75%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.29%
PT rev (1m)-2.81%
PT rev (3m)-34.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.57
Fwd PE 10.19
P/S 0.61
P/FCF 22.04
P/OCF 8.34
P/B 1.32
P/tB 1.36
EV/EBITDA 4.06
EPS(TTM)3.34
EY13.21%
EPS(NY)2.48
Fwd EY9.81%
FCF(TTM)1.15
FCFY4.54%
OCF(TTM)3.03
OCFY12%
SpS41.74
BVpS19.16
TBVpS18.58
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 14.79%
ROCE 13.99%
ROIC 9.81%
ROICexc 10.95%
ROICexgc 11.14%
OM 12.74%
PM (TTM) 6.79%
GM 20.43%
FCFM 2.75%
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF 7.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.17
Cap/Depr 90.94%
Cap/Sales 4.52%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 41.02%
Profit Quality 40.47%
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 1.86
F-Score7
WACC8.54%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)237.06%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%365.43%
EPS Next Y274.73%
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
EPS Next 5Y19.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%29.63%
Revenue Next Year5.43%
Revenue Next 2Y2.12%
Revenue Next 3Y2.73%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%
EBIT growth 1Y758.78%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year109.42%
EBIT Next 3Y34.7%
EBIT Next 5Y9.85%
FCF growth 1Y155.88%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y47.2%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%