ALCOA CORP (185.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
FRA:185 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US0138721065 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to 185. 185 was compared to 40 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. 185 has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. 185 has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year 185 was profitable.
185 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years 185 reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
185 had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
185 has a Return On Assets of 0.43%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 185 outperforms 45.95% of its industry peers.
185 has a Return On Equity of 1.16%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 185 outperforms 45.95% of its industry peers.
185 has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.76%. This is in the better half of the industry: 185 outperforms 62.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.43% | ||
| ROE | 1.16% | ||
| ROIC | 5.76% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
185 has a Profit Margin (0.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
185's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
185 has a Operating Margin of 7.37%. This is in the better half of the industry: 185 outperforms 62.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 185 has declined.
The Gross Margin of 185 (15.56%) is worse than 62.16% of its industry peers.
185's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.5% | ||
| GM | 15.56% |
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 185 is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for 185 has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
185 has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 185 is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.62, we must say that 185 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of 185 (1.62) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
185 has a debt to FCF ratio of 61.79. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 185 would need 61.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 61.79, 185 is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.24% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49 indicates that 185 is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.49, 185 is not doing good in the industry: 62.16% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 61.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.62 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC9.87%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.45 indicates that 185 should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.45, 185 is not doing good in the industry: 64.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that 185 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
185's Quick ratio of 0.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 185 outperforms 48.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 142.11% over the past year.
The earnings per share for 185 have been decreasing by -48.01% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, 185 shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.74% in the last year.
185 shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.66% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)142.11%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%285.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%34.34%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, 185 will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.84% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, 185 will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.91% on average per year.
EPS Next Y332.87%
EPS Next 2Y91.84%
EPS Next 3Y56.05%
EPS Next 5Y19.84%
Revenue Next Year13.75%
Revenue Next 2Y4.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.92%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
185 is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 33.88.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as 185.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.35. 185 is around the same levels.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.79, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of 185.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 185 indicates a rather cheap valuation: 185 is cheaper than 89.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. 185 is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
185's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
185's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 202.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.53 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
185's earnings are expected to grow with 56.05% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y91.84%
EPS Next 3Y56.05%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
185 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.22%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of 185 dropped by -26.79% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.52, 185 has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.22, 185 pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.33.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.22% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
185 pays out 150.00% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP150%
EPS Next 2Y91.84%
EPS Next 3Y56.05%
FRA:185 (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
29.815
-1.13 (-3.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners77.41%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.77%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.84B
Analysts81.9
Price Target48.2 (61.66%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.22% |
Yearly Dividend0.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP150%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)50.18%
Min EPS beat(2)3.63%
Max EPS beat(2)96.74%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)33.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.91%
Max EPS beat(4)96.74%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-12.13%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.97%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.47%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.78%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.45%
PT rev (1m)0.59%
PT rev (3m)3.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)55.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)1%
EPS NY rev (3m)26.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)21.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.79 | ||
| P/S | 0.72 | ||
| P/FCF | 202.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.68 | ||
| P/B | 1.65 | ||
| P/tB | 1.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.53 |
EPS(TTM)0.88
EY2.95%
EPS(NY)3.83
Fwd EY12.84%
FCF(TTM)0.15
FCFY0.49%
OCF(TTM)2.18
OCFY7.31%
SpS41.67
BVpS18.07
TBVpS17.44
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.43% | ||
| ROE | 1.16% | ||
| ROCE | 8.22% | ||
| ROIC | 5.76% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.44% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.57% | ||
| OM | 7.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.5% | ||
| GM | 15.56% | ||
| FCFM | 0.35% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 61.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.66 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.88% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.64 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 40.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 70% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.62 |
F-Score6
WACC9.87%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)142.11%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%285.71%
EPS Next Y332.87%
EPS Next 2Y91.84%
EPS Next 3Y56.05%
EPS Next 5Y19.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%34.34%
Revenue Next Year13.75%
Revenue Next 2Y4.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.92%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%
EBIT growth 1Y651.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year162.47%
EBIT Next 3Y34.15%
EBIT Next 5Y10.1%
FCF growth 1Y109.55%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y583.52%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%