AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC)
US00123Q1040 - REIT
Overall AGNC gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AGNC against 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AGNC has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGNC had positive earnings in the past year.
AGNC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AGNC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AGNC has a Return On Assets of 0.04%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNC outperforms 45.31% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Return On Equity of 0.39% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 45.31% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AGNC (0.17%) is worse than 65.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.04% | ||
| ROE | 0.39% | ||
| ROIC | 0.17% |
ROA(3y)-0.5%
ROA(5y)-0.28%
ROE(3y)-3.25%
ROE(5y)-1.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNC has a Profit Margin of 1.26%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNC outperforms 45.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNC has declined.
AGNC's Operating Margin of 6.11% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 45.31% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGNC's Gross Margin of 9.89% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 71.88% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.26% | ||
| GM | 9.89% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-28.26%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-9.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGNC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGNC has an Altman-Z score of -0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AGNC (-0.91) is worse than 89.06% of its industry peers.
AGNC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.12. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AGNC (6.12) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.01 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNC's Current ratio of 0.01 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 90.63% of its industry peers.
AGNC has a Quick Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AGNC (0.01) is worse than 90.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.01 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -19.61% in the last year.
AGNC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.03% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 677.08% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.60% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-19.61%
EPS 3Y-1.12%
EPS 5Y2.03%
EPS growth Q2Q-17.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)677.08%
Revenue growth 3Y71.75%
Revenue growth 5Y12.6%
Revenue growth Q2Q-109.37%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -9.31% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 68.19% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-14.8%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y-9.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2278.12%
Revenue Next 2Y358.76%
Revenue Next 3Y68.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 3.96, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 98.44% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.60. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 4.77, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
95.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGNC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 20.15. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.77 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as AGNC's earnings are expected to decrease with -9.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.95
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y-9.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.56%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.64, AGNC pays a better dividend. On top of this AGNC pays more dividend than 81.25% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, AGNC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.56% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.50%.
AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of AGNC decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
AGNC pays out 3140.63% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGNC's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP3140.63%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y-9.31%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP
NASDAQ:AGNC (5/17/2024, 7:00:00 PM)
After market: 9.87 -0.03 (-0.3%)9.9
+0.01 (+0.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap7.13B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.56% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
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EPS beat(4)
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EPS beat(8)
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EPS beat(12)
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EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
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Revenue beat(4)
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Revenue beat(8)
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Revenue beat(12)
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Revenue beat(16)
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PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.77 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.95
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.04% | ||
| ROE | 0.39% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 6.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.26% | ||
| GM | 9.89% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-19.61%
EPS 3Y-1.12%
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y-14.8%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)677.08%
Revenue growth 3Y71.75%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y